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<title>The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver. - SHERLOC</title>
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<h1>The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.</h1>
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<td>New York : Penguin Press, 2012.</td>
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<th class="key">ISBN:</th>
<td>9781594204111 (hbk.)<br />159420411X (hbk.)</td>
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<td>519.542 SIL</td>
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<th class="key">Physical description:</th>
<td>534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.</td>
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<a href="accessible.ashx?q=subject:"Forecasting."&rctx=AAMAAAABAAAAAwAAABNRAAAKYWNjZXNzaWJsZQAAAAAAAAAEZnJlYwAbfGxpYnJhcnkvbWFyYy9keW5peHwxMzkyMzA1AAAAAAABAAAAAAAAAAJlbgAA/////wAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA=">Forecasting.</a>
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<a href="accessible.ashx?q=subject:"Forecasting+Methodology."&rctx=AAMAAAABAAAAAwAAABNRAAAKYWNjZXNzaWJsZQAAAAAAAAAEZnJlYwAbfGxpYnJhcnkvbWFyYy9keW5peHwxMzkyMzA1AAAAAAABAAAAAAAAAAJlbgAA/////wAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA=">Forecasting -- Methodology.</a>
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<a href="accessible.ashx?q=subject:"Forecasting+History."&rctx=AAMAAAABAAAAAwAAABNRAAAKYWNjZXNzaWJsZQAAAAAAAAAEZnJlYwAbfGxpYnJhcnkvbWFyYy9keW5peHwxMzkyMzA1AAAAAAABAAAAAAAAAAJlbgAA/////wAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA=">Forecasting -- History.</a>
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<a href="accessible.ashx?q=subject:"Bayesian+statistical+decision+theory."&rctx=AAMAAAABAAAAAwAAABNRAAAKYWNjZXNzaWJsZQAAAAAAAAAEZnJlYwAbfGxpYnJhcnkvbWFyYy9keW5peHwxMzkyMzA1AAAAAAABAAAAAAAAAAJlbgAA/////wAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA=">Bayesian statistical decision theory.</a>
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<a href="accessible.ashx?q=subject:"Knowledge%2c+Theory+of."&rctx=AAMAAAABAAAAAwAAABNRAAAKYWNjZXNzaWJsZQAAAAAAAAAEZnJlYwAbfGxpYnJhcnkvbWFyYy9keW5peHwxMzkyMzA1AAAAAAABAAAAAAAAAAJlbgAA/////wAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA=">Knowledge, Theory of.</a>
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<th class="key">Note:</th>
<td>Includes bibliographical references and index.</td>
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<th class="key">Summary note:</th>
<td>Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.</td>
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<th class="key">Contents note:</th>
<td>A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.</td>
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